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, by James Rickards
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Product details
File Size: 1905 KB
Print Length: 330 pages
Publisher: Penguin (November 15, 2016)
Publication Date: November 15, 2016
Language: English
ASIN: B01GGZPKPM
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Amazon Best Sellers Rank:
#393,425 Paid in Kindle Store (See Top 100 Paid in Kindle Store)
I'm a retired, educated professional who's always had a layman's interest in and exposure to the field of economics. I've read Rickards' other books and followed him on Twitter for years. I like his logic, insights and clear explanations.The cover jacket for this book states "The most potent form of protection is to arm yourself with knowledge." That's true. I read "Road to Ruin" hoping to 1) identify and understand threats and 2) identify practical steps to protect my large family.I find Jim Rickards to be a gifted teacher - he successfully explains numerous complicated concepts in layman terms. Thanks to his writings in this particular book, I feel I have a basic working knowledge of some troubling issues that may very well threaten the long term success of not just my own family, but America in general.This book met the first part of my goal - "understanding and identifying threats." It did not satisfy the second part of my goal.In Rickards' chapter "Behold a Black Horse" he (finally!) outlines suggestions for what he feels may help people defend their "wealth" against all the coming threats he has so carefully and thoroughly exposed. I found his suggestions to be tersely worded and lacking the "fleshing out" helpfulness characteristic in Rickards previous chapters. When I finished this much anticipated section I sensed Rickards had deliberately withheld information the average reader needed to understand and apply his suggestions and ideas. Was this in order to get the reader to subscribe to his Agora Financial Newsletter? I took the bait and subscribed ($99) knowing I could get my money back if unsatisfied. Guess what. That membership quickly supplied me with one book and two reports that supplied the missing information. Thank you. But, why was that information not simply included in the book? That investment newsletter marketing ploy is my only criticism of this book. In every other way I found the book interesting and educational.
As an economist and financial adviser, I was prepared to be highly critical of James Rickards' latest book. Instead, I found myself annotating it heavily and reread it immediately after finishing it. There may be a little more detail in some parts than the explication really needed, but I found myself nodding in agreement rather than shaking my head. It's not a conspiratorial book (as some reviewers have alleged). Rickards speaks of "elites," but as an amorphous group bound together by shared goals rather than as a dark organization dedicated to evil. His analysis of the Long Term Capital Management (LTCM) debacle is fascinating, since he was working there at the time. His discussion of complexity theory applied to financial markets is the best I've seen on the topic. His discussion of trade issues is particularly timely due to the recent presidential election.The typical free trade policies have led to the gutting of US manufacturing, and the loss of the jobs on which the middle class used to depend. (Remember that working class white voters used to be the backbone of the Democratic Party!) If President Trump can shift our trade policies so that a certain amount of manufacturing returns to the US, he will have done generations of Americans a great favor. Rickards shows how so-called "free" trade really isn't free.By far the most important part of the book is the case it makes for a coming financial panic. Rickards does not identify the precise cause, although he does say that the cause will be a liquidity crisis in one part of the financial market, which will spread to all other parts. He does lay out the reasons why he feels that such a crisis, exponentially larger than previous ones, is almost inevitable at this point. There is some general advice on tactics to protect yourself during such an event -- a process, really, since it would take years to work itself out. Other forms of self-protection are easily inferred from the analysis. All in all, I believe this is one of the most important financial books in years.
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